Climate

Start year
End year
1950 2000 2050 2100
2022
UKCP18 pathway used to map year to global warming level
RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5
RCP4.5 — Emissions peak in 2045 — the probable baseline scenario

Historical data from Met Office HadUK-Grid (5 km). Future projections from UKCP Local (5 km, ensemble member 01): year and scenario select a Global Warming Level; maps are 20-year snapshots at 1.5–4.0°C above pre-industrial (source run RCP8.5).

Scenarios follow Representative Concentration Pathways. For how current policies and pledges compare with warming pathways, see the Climate Action Tracker emissions pathways.

Weather

Maximum days over 30°C
0 15 30 45 60
60 days